Link to Video

Cuyahoga Board of Elections Attacks ESI after its Primary Election Audit

Here is what happens when you conduct an audit of a Cuyahoga-Diebold Election and the results are not favorable. In short, you get attacked. In this August 2006 video, Steven Hertzberg presents ESI's findings to Chairman Bennett, who obviously is more interested in attacking the messenger than in fixing the problem with Diebold machines. 

Fintan Dunne Investigating Steven Hertzberg of Election Science Institute and Ron Paul Online? 

Quote:

Welcome to Election Science Institute!

Opening Statement by Steven Hertzberg Franklin County Board of Elections,

Columbus, Ohio

Wednesday March 16, 2005

Good afternoon. My name is Steven Hertzberg. I am the founder of Election Science Institute and its project director.I’d like to take a moment to express my admiration for the Franklin County Board of Elections in general and its Director, Matt Damschroder and Deputy Director, mike hackett. even though our relationship may have started on opposite sides of the table, These officials have understood the need to come together to accomplishe a great goal. They have my deep admiration, and i know the entire team at the election science institute are looking forward to working with the board of elections at franklin county.with respect to the most recent presidential election, we have been witness to a number of concerns raised regarding the fairness of voting and election process. At this point, it is not for me or election science institute to comments on what went right and what went wrong. Our approach will be to work with the board of elections and its staff to thoroughly examine their entire process. We are not coming into this process with any preconceived notions. Only after the completion of a thorough and objective examination will we make recommendations to our oversight committee which will then make recommendations to the Board of Elections.Now, let me tell you that I am very excited to have this opportunity to work with franklin county to improve the election process for the voters of ohio. our organization’s goal is to bring together citizens together with the best science we have to offer to improve the american election process. I think franklin county is going to help us move toward that goal. Thank you.

Last modified 05-10-2005 11:39 PM

www.electionscience.org/government/shh_statement

Election Science Institute conclusions about the theft of the 2004 election in Ohio:

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Ohio 2004 Exit Polls: Explaining the Discrepancy

This is a summary of the first report on the Ohio exit poll controversy by the Election Science Institute. We conclude that the data do not support accusations of election fraud in the Ohio presidential election of 2004.

The full report has been submitted to a journal for publication, data and charts will be posted with the 2004 Ohio Exit Polls and Election Results Presentation at www.electionscience.org.Our study indicates that the non-response rate theory is much more likely than the fraud accusation theory to account for most, if not all, of the observed discrepancy between the exit polls and the actual results

electionscience.org/Members/stevenhertzberg/report.2005-07-19.7420722886/report_contents_file/

Response from the 2004 theft investigators:

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Statisticians Recommend Measures to Ensure Vote Count Accuracy

February 16, 2006

Release "Ohio’s 2004 Exit Poll Analysis for Novices”

pdf version electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/press/PR-ElectionArchive-future&OH.pdf

Why should Americans care about possible 2004 vote miscounts? The 2004 election is over. It’s old news. The only reason for rehashing prior elections is to ensure that our votes are counted the way voters intend in the future. Should Americans trust that our votes are counted accurately; or is wholesale electronic election tampering occurring? How could the evidence of vote tampering be hidden? Are the future of democracy and U.S. elections at stake? The U.S. press has dismissed exit polls as surprisingly inaccurate in the 2004 presidential election when exit polls conflicted with official vote counts. Were exit polls wrong or were vote counts altered?On February 14, 2006, the National Election Data Archive, a group of volunteer mathematicians and statisticians, released a report asking that new measures be taken immediately in order to assure the integrity of future U.S. election results. Their new report discusses why current measures to ensure vote count accuracy, such as testing and certification, are inadequate; discusses how evidence of vote miscounts are hidden by current election reporting procedures; and recommends independent vote count audits, public detailed election data monitoring, and public exit poll data.

The National Election Data Archive’s report also summarizes a scientific analysis of Ohio’s precinct-level exit polls in layman’s terms. Why should Americans care about Ohio’s 2004 vote counts? Ohio was a key battleground state. Whichever presidential candidate won Ohio became president. Ohio is also the only state for which pollsters publicly released sufficient precinct-level exit poll and vote count data to perform a valid mathematical analysis. Exit polls by the same exit polling firm, Edison/Mitofsky International, were recently used to judge when elections in the Ukraine and Azerbaijan were valid. Exit polls in the 2004 presidential election were not just randomly inaccurate: Bush's reported vote tally was higher than the exit polls anticipated and the inaccuracy was highest in precincts with the highest reported Bush vote. The pollsters said: “Bush voters completed fewer exit polls.” However, the National Election Archive’s analysis finds that the exit poll error explanation is inconsistent with the data and claims that John Kerry might be president today, if votes had been accurately counted in Ohio.

In June 2005 The Election Science Institute (ESI) and pollster Mitofsky issued a paper “Ohio 2004 Exit Polls: Explaining the Discrepancy” which asserts that an exit poll error explanation “is much more likely than the fraud accusation theory to account for most, if not all, of the observed discrepancy between the exit polls and the actual results.” Precinct-level exit poll data released with ESI’s report shows that the overall average discrepancy between Ohio’s exit poll and certified vote count margins between Kerry and Bush was 11.7 percentage points.

However, In October, 2005, the National Election Archive released a paper which gives counterexamples to show that the Election Science Institute’s analysis is based on an invalid premise.1 On January 17, 2006 the National Election Archive released its own scientific Ohio exit poll discrepancy analysis, “The Gun Is Smoking: 2004 Ohio Precinct-level Exit Poll Data Show Virtually Irrefutable Evidence of Vote Miscount”2. This analysis concludes that Ohio’s exit poll discrepancy pattern is consistent with outcome-altering errors in vote counts.

Two things are certain in this controversy about U.S. exit poll accuracy:

1. The Election Science Institute and the National Election Archive cannot both be correct, and

2. Any university mathematics department in America could evaluate the two conflicting studies and decide which analysis is mathematically correct.

The National Election Archive challenges every journalist interested in discovering if outcome-altering vote miscounts or exit poll error is the more probable cause of Ohio’s exit poll discrepancy; to help resolve this critical question. The answer may make the difference as to whether Americans take steps to ensure vote count accuracy in future elections or not. The National Election Archive urges the National Election Pool media consortium to accept this “math challenge” by sharing these two conflicting election studies with mathematics faculty at any university to determine which analysis is mathematically correct.

electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/OH/Ohio-Exit-Polls-2004.pdf and electionscience.org/reports/view_reports

electionscience.org/Members/stevenhertzberg/report.2005-07-19.7420722886/report_contents_file/

The survival of democracy and the future of our civilization may depend on taking steps to ensure the accuracy of elections. As the Election Science Institute said, “The public has a right to know exactly how elections work and to verify for themselves that the voting and the counting is done right.”

NEDA’s full February 16th report can be found online at

electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/exit-polls/Ohio2004-US-future.pdf

1 “Mathematical Proof that Election Sciences Institute’s Test to Rule Out Vote Fraud Is Logically Incorrect,” electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/exit-polls/ESI/ESI-hypothesis-illogical.pdf

2 electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/OH/Ohio-Exit-Polls-2004.pdf

Last Updated ( Thursday, 16 February 2006 )
uscountvotes.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=130&Itemid=84

	NPR, Oct 30, 2006 The Diane Rehm Show Audio: Electronic Voting and the Midterm Elections
	American Enterprise Institute, Sep 22, 2006 Washington, DC Video: The 2006 Elections: Are We Ready?
	CNN, Aug 16, 2006 Lou Dobbs Tonight Video: ESI's Ohio Election Report Windows Media (5.6MB)
	PBS, Dec 2, 2004 The News Hour with Jim Lehrer Video: How the voting process can be improved
	Mainstream Media Project, March 2004 World of Possibilities Radio Audio: 2004: How Can We Assure Free and Fair Elections?
	CNNfn, October 8, 2003 Maverick of the Morning Video: The California Vote Windows Media (20MB)

Above links are from the www.Archive.org archive of Mr. Hertzberg's old blog www.gelamen.com

See thread at www.BreakForNews.com forum: My response to events leading to my BFN supension